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2025 UK Labour Market Predictions: 5 Key Trends Shaping the Future Workforce

By Dustin Burgess, Senior Vice President of Strategic Advisory at Magnit

As the UK labour market stands at a transformative crossroads, organisations face unprecedented challenges and opportunities in shaping their workforce strategies for 2025. We’re experiencing a complex, evolving market where the relationship between candidates and organisations continues to shift dramatically. As skill demands evolve and workforce expectations change, organisations that maintain a deep understanding of these market dynamics while adapting to new employment regulations, will emerge as leaders in 2025.

Based on Magnit’s recent Autumn/Winter 2024 UK Labour Market Report, we anticipate several key trends shaping the market over the next six to 12 months.

AI Revolution Reshaping the Workforce

The rapid adoption of AI and automation will create new opportunities, particularly in tech-driven sectors. The UK’s position as Europe’s AI powerhouse continues to strengthen, with the IT & telecommunications sector leading adoption at 29.5% and predicted to add 320,000 new roles to support AI technologies. This transformation extends beyond the tech sector, affecting every industry vertical to some degree – the retail sector for example, with just 11.5% adoption, is set to reduce its workforce by 240,000 due to automation.

Employers should focus on reskilling and upskilling their current workforce, preparing them for the rising demand in data analysis, machine learning and generative AI. Training programmes will be crucial to bridging skill gaps and ensuring organisational resilience.

Onshoring Momentum to Drive Domestic Skills Investment

Onshoring and nearshoring will gain momentum as businesses seek to reduce global supply chain risks. This shift will require investment in local talent and infrastructure, and employers should proactively adjust their recruitment strategies to source more domestic workers. The construction and manufacturing sectors are leading a significant onshoring trend, with Western Europe’s filled contingent engagements more than doubling from 6.8% to 13.9% of the global total. The UK accounts for two-thirds of this volume, demonstrating strong domestic growth potential.

The changing landscape of global business operations and the decline in the original conditions that led to offshoring has driven companies to bring work back to the UK. This creates both opportunities and challenges for workforce development and skills training.

New Employment Legislation to Transform Working Practices

The implementation of new employment laws under the Labour government is set to fundamentally alter the UK’s working practices. Key changes include the introduction of Day-One Rights removing the two-year qualifying period for unfair dismissal protection, and guaranteed hours after a specified employment period to address the exploitation of zero-hours contracts. These upcoming changes will likely increase the cost of hiring temporary workers but will significantly enhance employment protections. Flexibility and workforce/demand planning may also be impacted for employers within some sectors, especially those which are heavy users of zero-hours contract and/or operate shift patterns.

Organisations have a unique opportunity to reassess their practices, strengthen their compliance frameworks, and enhance their value proposition to employees. Those that adopt a forward-thinking stance will be better positioned to thrive in the new regulatory terrain.

Specialised Skills Shortages Drive Competition

Economic uncertainty and political shifts will continue to influence recruitment dynamics and employers will face challenges in specialised, high-demand roles like IT, cybersecurity and project management. The market faces intense competition for specialists in cybersecurity, AI implementation, and digital transformation. Currently, 25% of IT project managers and cybersecurity engineers change jobs annually – nearly double the national average of 15% – indicating a highly mobile talent pool.

The ongoing talent shortage has given workers new career advantages and flexibility. Rather than just being job seekers, they’re now job choosers. These roles will remain competitive, requiring strong retention strategies, such as attractive compensation packages and flexible working.

Return-to-office mandates that fail to account for worker preferences and the local talent landscape stand to exacerbate growing regional skills gaps going forward. Blind prioritisation of in-office presence to save the bottom line over consideration of the flexibility preferences and available skills among local talent may alienate top candidates and make the competition for already scarce talent that much more difficult. To avoid this, companies must invest in robust job-posting data, AI-driven technology, and job taxonomy expertise when building their hiring strategies for 2025. 

Enhancing Learning and Development (L&D)

With 9% of UK workers now listing analytical and data analysis skills in their profiles – more than any other skill – companies must adapt their training programmes to meet this growing demand for data-savvy professionals. Other notable skill trends include significant increases in demand for content strategy and business intelligence (both +8% YoY) and SharePoint Online (+4% YoY).

Organisations that think holistically, bringing contingent workers into their overall workforce planning, will set themselves up for success. The key will be finding a delicate balance between controlling costs and remaining competitive in a rapidly evolving market.

Organisations must adopt an integrated approach to these challenges, combining technological innovation with human-centric policies. Success in 2025 will require careful orchestration of AI integration, regulatory compliance, and talent development strategies, all while maintaining operational agility and workforce satisfaction.

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Business

Empowering banks to protect consumers: The impact of the APP Fraud mandate

Source: Finance Derivative

Thara Brooks, Market Specialist, Fraud, Financial Crime & Compliance at FIS

On the 7th October last year, the APP (Authorised Push Payment) fraud reimbursement mandate came into effect in the UK. The mandate aims to protect consumers, but it has already come under immense scrutiny, receiving both support and criticism from all market sectors. But what does it mean for banks and their customers?

Fraud has become a growing concern for the UK banking system and its consumers. According to the ICAEW, the total value of UK fraud stood at £2.3bn in 2023, a 104% increase since 2022, with estimates that the evolution of AI will lead to even bigger challenges. As the IMF points out, greater digitalisation brings greater vulnerabilities, at a time when half of UK consumers are already “obsessed” with checking their banking apps and balances.

These concerns have contributed to the implementation of the PSR’s (Payment Systems Regulator) APP fraud mandate, which was implemented to reimburse the victims of APP fraud. APP fraud occurs when somebody is tricked into authorising a payment from their own bank account. Unlike more traditional fraud, such as payments made from a stolen bank card, APP fraud previously fell outside the scope of conventional fraud protection, as the transaction is technically “authorised” by the victim.

The £85,000 Debate: A controversial adjustment

The regulatory framework for the APP fraud mandate was initially introduced in May 2022. The maximum level of mandatory reimbursement was originally set at £415,000 per claim. The PSR significantly reduced the maximum reimbursement value to £85,000 when the mandate came into effect, however, causing widespread controversy.

According to the PSR, the updated cap will see over 99% of claims (by volume) being covered, with an October review highlighting just 18 instances of people being scammed for more than £415,000, and 411 instances of more than £85,000, from a total of over 250,000 cases throughout 2023. “Almost all high value scams are made up of multiple smaller transactions,” the PSR explains, “reducing the effectiveness of transaction limits as a tool to manage exposure.”

The reduced cap makes a big difference on multiple levels. For financial institutions and payment service providers (PSPs), the lower limit means they’re less exposed to high-value claims. The reduced exposure to unlimited high-value claims has the potential to lower compliance and operational costs, while the £85,000 cap aligns with the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS) threshold, creating broader consistency across financial redress schemes.

There are naturally downsides to the lower limit, with critics highlighting significant financial shortfalls for victims of high-value fraud. The lower cap may reduce public confidence in the financial system’s ability to protect against fraud, particularly for those handling large sums of money, while small businesses, many of which often deal with large transaction amounts, may find the cap insufficient to cover losses.

The impact on PSPs and their customers

With PSPs responsible for APP fraud reimbursement, institutions need to take the next step when it comes to fraud detection and prevention to minimise exposure to claims within the £85,000 cap. Customers of all types are likely to benefit from more robust security as a result.

The Financial Conduct Authority’s (FCA’s) recommendations include strengthening controls during onboarding, improving transaction monitoring to detect suspicious activity, and optimising reporting mechanisms to enable swift action. Such controls are largely in line with the PSR’s own recommendations, with the institution setting out a number of steps in its final policy statement in December 2023 to mitigate APP scam risks.

These include setting appropriate transaction limits, improving ‘know your customer’ controls, strengthening transaction-monitoring systems and stopping or freezing payments that PSPs consider to be suspicious for further investigation.

All these measures will invariably improve consumer experience, increasing customers’ confidence to transact online safely, as well as giving them peace of mind with quicker reimbursement in case things go awry.

Going beyond the APP fraud mandate

If the PSR’s mandate can steer financial institutions towards implementing more robust security practices, it can only be a good thing. It’s not the only tool that’s shaping the financial security landscape, however.

In October 2024, the UK government introduced new legislation granting banks enhanced powers to combat fraud. An optional £100 excess on fraud claims has been introduced to encourage customer caution and combat moral hazards, while the Treasury has strengthened prevention measures by handing out new powers to high street banks to delay and investigate payments suspected of being fraudulent by 3 days. The extended processing time for suspicious payments may lead to delays in legitimate transactions, making transparent communication and robust safeguards essential to maintain consumer trust.

Further collaborative efforts, such as Meta’s partnership with UK banks through the Fraud Intelligence Reciprocal Exchange (FIRE) program, can also aid the fight against fraud. Thanks to direct intelligence sharing between financial institutions and the world’s biggest social media platform, FIRE enhances the detection and removal of fraudulent accounts across platforms such as Facebook and Instagram, not only disrupting scam operations, but also fostering a safer digital environment for users. The early stages of the pilot have led to action against thousands of scammer-operated accounts, with approximately 20,000 accounts removed based on shared data.

Additionally, education and awareness are crucial measures to protect consumers against APP fraud. Several high street banks have upgraded their banking channels to share timely content about the signs of potential scams, with increased public awareness helping consumers identify and avoid fraudulent schemes.

Improvements in policing strategies are also significantly contributing to the mitigation of APP fraud. Specialized fraud units within police forces have enhanced the precision and efficiency of investigations. The City of London Police and the National Fraud Intelligence Bureau are upgrading the technology for Action Fraud, providing victims with a more accessible and customer-friendly service. Collaborative efforts among police, banks, and telecommunications firms, exemplified by the work of the Dedicated Card and Payment Crime Unit (DCPCU), have enabled the swift exchange of information, facilitating the prompt apprehension of scammers.

How AI is expected to change the landscape

The coming months will be critical in assessing these changes, as institutions, businesses and the UK government work together to shape security against fraud in the ever-changing world of finance.

While fraud is a terrifyingly big business, it’s only likely to increase with the evolution of AI, making it even more critical that such changes are effective. According to PwC, “There is a real risk that hard-fought improvements in fraud defences could be undone if the right measures are not put in place to defend against fraud in an AI-enabled world.”

Chatbots can be used as part of phishing scams, for example, and AI systems can already read text and reproduce sampled voices, making it possible to send messages from “relatives” whose voices have been spoofed in a similar manner to deepfakes.

Along with other innovations, tools and collaborations, however, the APP fraud mandate, UK legislation and FIRE can all contribute towards redressing such technological advances. Together, this can give financial institutions a much-needed boost in the fight against fraud, providing a more secure future for customers.

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Business

After the tax deadline: Next steps for accountancy firms

Source: Finance Derivative

By Cameron Ford, UK General Manager of Silverfin

For many accountancy firms, tax season has ended. Now, leaders have a chance to reflect on their firm’s performance, how their people are feeling after the busiest period of the year, and consider how they might optimise people, processes and technology for the future.

As a former CFO with experience in senior accountancy roles across multiple firms, I know first-hand the challenges the year-end crunch presents. The intense weeks and months leading up to HMRC deadlines put immense pressure on infrastructure, exposing the limitations of legacy systems and the bottlenecks caused by manual workflows.

The post-busy-season presents a valuable opportunity to reassess and prepare for the next one. It’s also a time for firms to reflect on evolving client needs and proactively take action to deliver improved future outcomes. Firms should also evaluate whether their current technology is alleviating pressure during peak periods – or adding to the strain.

The risk of inaction

We are living in an era of profound technological change and fast-paced innovation. Firms that fail to evolve with the times will be left behind as more flexible and adaptive competitors race forward. The risk for slow movers is not just reduced competitiveness – its industry consolidation locking them out altogether.

For today’s leaders, the choice is no longer whether to transform – but which technologies to adopt. Accountancy firms now have access to an extensive array of powerful solutions. Data analytics tools are delivering insights to power better decision-making. Automation is streamlining workflows, reducing errors and freeing up valuable time to focus on strategic tasks. And the demand for fast, secure access to accurate and timely data is only growing.

Yet, as accountancy technology matures, new challenges are emerging that extend beyond traditional tech solutions as regulators become increasingly zealous. In the UK alone, two-thirds of current business taxes were introduced in the past decade, according to Thomson Reuters. That’s 13 out of 19 business taxes. The sheer pace of regulatory innovation demonstrates the need for accountancy firms to be agile and capable of transforming at speed, as their clients face an ever evolving and intricate tax landscape.

Future success depends on equipping firms with the ability to meet the demands of both customers and regulators, striking a balance that not only satisfies current expectations but also lays the groundwork for evolving future requirements.

Growing complexity

Corporate tax management illustrates the complex nature of today’s accounting landscape. Changing regulations, new post-Brexit tax requirements and global initiatives – such as the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development’s (OECD) Pillar Two, which introduces a global minimum corporate tax rate of 15% – are placing unprecedented demands on tax and accounting professionals.

The most effective response is to adopt specialised software that is designed to manage compliance and evolving regulatory requirements. While adopting new technology can seem daunting, it should be seen as an opportunity, not an obstacle. Yes, there may be initial friction and deployment challenges during the early stages of transformation, but these are temporary. As firms adapt to new tools and workflows, they unlock significant benefits – including streamlined processes, improved accuracy, and the ability to stay ahead of future changes in an increasingly dynamic tax environment.

AI transformation 

AI is rapidly emerging as a game-changing technology for many industries, including accountancy. It’s true value lies in acting as a partner and collaborator, taking on the heavy lifting of repetitive manual tasks, freeing up valuable hours so accountants have more time to focus on building stronger client relationships.

To be effective, AI relies on accurate real-time financial data that is easily accessed and stored in a standardised format. But before even considering training a model, firms must solve their lingering data issues. With multiple bookkeeping and large volumes of inconsistent and duplicated data, firms often struggle to extract meaningful insights.

Resolving these issues requires integrating data from various bookkeeping systems using techniques such as cloud syncs and AI enrichment tools. Data must also be stored in a unified format, properly catalogued and free from duplication to maximise its value.

By deploying AI on a foundation of clean, reliable and up-to-date data, accountancy firms can enhance their performance during peak seasons and better manage the pressures of increased demand. Plus, digital transformation and the deployment of advanced accountancy and compliance software also put firms in a stronger position to respond to new complexities and challenges that will inevitably emerge in this dynamic marketplace.

Peak season may be over, but now it’s time to plan for the next one, anticipating customer needs and proactively adapting to shifting demands.

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Business

Future-proofing financial services investment

Source: Finance Derivative

Adrian Ah-Chin-Kow, Global Commercial Director at leading software escrow company, Escode, discusses how the financial services sector can prepare for the increasing investment ahead of the government’s industrial growth strategy, Invest 2035, ensuring resilience against technological risks.

The UK’s proposed Invest 2035 strategy sets a bold vision: to elevate the UK as a global leader in high-growth sectors. Financial services are at the heart of this roadmap, tasked with driving innovation, sustainability, and competitiveness. But as we look towards the future, it’s critical that the sector strikes a careful balance between embracing strategic investments and maintaining operational resilience in the face of an increasingly complex technological risk landscape.

The digital transformation currently underway in financial services is set to accelerate even further as organisations adopt new technologies like artificial intelligence, blockchain, and cloud computing. These innovations hold immense potential for growth and efficiency, but they also introduce new layers of vulnerability. For financial services to thrive in this environment, firms need to ensure their technology infrastructure is resilient, reliable, and capable of withstanding disruption.

Growing risks in a digital-first world
As government and industry push forward with initiatives to digitise the financial services ecosystem, the sector is becoming more dependent on technology than ever before. With this reliance comes the inevitable rise of new risks—risks that can threaten operations, customer trust, and even the stability of markets.

We’ve seen first-hand the consequences of technology disruptions in this space. When key software providers experience outages or security breaches, the ripple effect can be significant, disrupting not just the companies involved but entire networks of financial institutions that depend on those systems. The impacts of such disruptions, particularly in a sector where reliability is paramount, can extend beyond the immediate downtime, eroding investor confidence and creating long-term reputational damage.

In a world that is becoming more interconnected by the day, it’s crucial that financial services organisations are prepared for these challenges. Protecting against technology failures and ensuring business continuity must be top priorities for any firm that wants to remain competitive in the years to come.

Operational resilience: The foundation of future growth
The ability to withstand and recover from disruption is at the core of what will define successful financial services firms in the future. Operational resilience is no longer just a regulatory requirement—it’s a business imperative that builds trust with investors, customers, and stakeholders. The strategies needed to build this resilience are varied, but there are a few critical components every organisation should consider.

  • Software Escrow: As financial institutions increasingly depend on digital tools, software escrow becomes a fundamental safeguard. We know how crucial escrow agreements are for protecting access to essential tools. If a provider fails or encounters insolvency, escrow ensures that critical software and intellectual property (IP) are held securely by a third party, ready to be released to the firm. In a sector where continuous access to technology is crucial, this arrangement offers peace of mind, ensuring core operations are protected from unexpected interruptions.
  • Stress-testing and Business Continuity: Regular stress-testing and comprehensive business continuity plans are essential components of any resilience strategy. By simulating disruptions, firms can identify weaknesses in their operations and put in place measures to address them. Continuity planning ensures that businesses can continue to operate, even under extreme circumstances, helping to mitigate the impacts of unanticipated events and minimise disruption to clients and markets.
  • Collaborative Resilience Standards: The interconnectivity of today’s financial ecosystem demands industry-wide standards. We’ve seen collaboration across both the private sector and with government initiatives become increasingly important. The UK’s Invest 2035 strategy offers an excellent foundation for fostering these partnerships, helping to establish resilience as a shared priority across the sector. We’re already seeing frameworks like the EU’s Digital Operational Resilience Act (DORA) lead the way in embedding resilience into the financial services supply chain. This kind of regulatory guidance helps institutions understand how to manage risks effectively, reducing overreliance on third-party providers and ensuring that firms can respond quickly to disruptions.

Collectively, these strategies reinforce the importance of being proactive rather than reactive when it comes to risk management. Operational resilience isn’t just about surviving the next crisis—it’s about building a foundation for long-term stability and growth in a rapidly changing environment.

Resilience as the key to securing Invest 2035
As we move towards Invest 2035, operational resilience will be the cornerstone of success. The financial services sector plays a pivotal role in driving economic growth and innovation, and its ability to adapt and respond to disruption will be key to maintaining the UK’s competitiveness on the global stage.

Embracing proactive resilience measures is the key to future success. By incorporating solutions like software escrow, stress-testing, and government-backed collaboration into their operational strategies, financial institutions can secure the UK’s position as a competitive, reliable investment hub.

Looking to the future, the ability to navigate these risks while maintaining operational integrity will determine whether financial services can continue to be the engine of economic growth in the UK. With the right safeguards in place, the sector can not only meet the goals of Invest 2035 but also build a reputation as a safe and dependable destination for global investment.

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