Connect with us

Business

2023 Tech and Industry Predictions from Teradata Experts

By: Teradata experts

From advances in AI/ML tied to digital twins & simulations to the expansion of satellite/cellular partnerships to expand coverage to remote or under-served areas, our tech & industry experts weigh in on what they think are the game-changing predictions for 2023.

Technology & Business

Dan Spurling, SVP, Product Engineering

Trusted Social Connectedness: While Twitter is imploding, and social media is generally seen as a negative, I believe that humans still crave connectedness in this space – especially when it is intentionally curated to ensure dependence – but that we will require both 1) greater transparency into who is stating the information that we consume, while 2) ensuring some form of security and privacy only with those whom we select (obvious potential conflict)

Digital Twins: I believe there will be advances in the ML/AI evolution tied to digital twins or simulations; moving beyond just sensors that predict machine failure or buying propensities, and moving into predictions of economic markets, food production, population health, etc.

Data Reduction: There is an exponentially increasing amount of data, but I believe we will see rise of solutions that deduce the meaningful bits of data from the overall mass of data collected, or even reduce the footprint of data using new technologies beyond current classic data storage techniques

Personal Security: (Unfortunately) Driven by greater government destabilisation and associated erosion of trust in government, I believe we will see increasing tech advances in the areas of personnel security and security monitoring

Risk Aversion: I predict that there will be reduced willingness to take large risks or make investments into risky ideas, thereby increasing the success of entrenched incumbents and decreasing the broad proliferation of new tech adoption across the large enterprises, resulting in reduced startup growth and flat to growing revenue for large software or service providers.

Michael Hay, VP, Product Management

Consolidation, Concurrency and Currency: With the looming recession, there is a natural tendency to figure out how to do more with less. How to focus on profit overgrowth. As a result, customers will shrink their footprints and seek to do the same or more work. This speaks to deploying Data and Analytics systems that can incrementally scale, but return a benefit significantly larger than a nominal incremental investment. Another way to look at this is platforms that have the virtues of being cheaper to perform queries, experiment, and avoid the data copy tax will win.

More, not less, Cloud providers:

Two global patterns, increased protectionism and a strong shift towards profitability to weather the looming recession, point to the genesis of more, not less, cloud providers. These new providers can be one of:
• General providers focused on meeting country or region-specific protectionist policies and avoiding laws and regulations with global reach, like the USA Cloud Act.
• Cloud provider plays that emphasise a special focus on unique industry requirements. For example, Energy or Healthcare companies could shift their business towards providing cloud and analytics services with acute emphasis on their respective industries and regulatory regimes.
• SaaS companies who have reached sufficient scale and must become profitable to survive.
These providers will be looking for software and services that enable them to be successful as cloud providers, and companies who are capable of supplying them, will win.

Retail

Mike Skypala, Industry Lead, EMEA

Hybrid is here to stay: People are now using both online and offline formats to shop, with in-store experiences seen as a chance to touch, feel and see the products. Many retailers are following IKEA’s lead by showing consumers what a full “at-home room” could look like in their retail spaces, making it a more visually led interaction. This blended approach to shopping is likely to stick around, which adds a certain element of complexity for retailers looking to track and interact with customers on their purchase journey and understanding the profitability of each, with analytics helping to comprehend these shifts and changes in behaviour.

Cost conscious shopping will intensify in 2023: As the cost-of-living crisis continues, there will be a sustained focus on value and cost-effective shopping as we head into a New Year. With the launch of an “Essentials” range in almost every supermarket speaking to this ongoing focus, consumer spending on non-essential goods, including fashion, homeware and beauty is likely to also continue to fall. As a result, retailers should ensure a steady flow of canned foods and cupboard essentials as these remain the priority items for many.

Sustainability remains a priority: Though sustainability has been at the forefront of consumer minds for years now, we’ve yet to see it truly become a systemic part of a retailer’s business and baked into every decision made; instead, it is often a siloed group of ad-hoc initiatives. By collecting and examining data on a range of sustainability-related issues — from energy use and carbon emissions to mobile consumption habits — companies can generate insights that would drive their sustainability initiatives and inform their long-term strategy moving forward. It’s likely that some form of legislative policy will come in either within this coming year or the next, meaning retailers will have to reach a certain level of sustainable practice in order to keep trading.

Convenience shopping is set to get more convenient: It’s likely that automatic, “scan as you go” and self-check-out options will continue to increase around the country as consumers continue to demand more convenient, faster and streamlined shopping experiences. There’s an opportunity for retailers to expand on personalisation elements in real time, based on actions as consumers walk round the shop, moving away from static data and towards contextual data. Additionally, the U.S. is leading the way with computer vision and smart trollies in particular, which pick up both what is being put in a shopper’s trolley, as well as what needs replenishing on the shelves.

Dave Spear & David King, Senior Industry Consultants for the Retail, CPG & Hospitality

Industries at Teradata

Revenge of the CEO: Unlimited free returns? 15-minute delivery? Metaverse? Expect intense scrutiny from Finance on the ROI and NPV of such investments, with a tougher hurdle due to rising interest rates. Expect “sure” cost reduction proposals to win over “wishful” growth projects as investors crave cashflow and profitability.

Healthy Dose of Retail: Health retailing continues to blur the line between traditional healthcare providers and general retailers. We’ll see more small and large acquisitions by companies like Amazon, Walmart, Target, CVS and Walgreens, all trying to deliver new health services at affordable prices.

QR Beyond James Bond: QR-codes make a giant leap forward in retail. These square codes will unlock huge amounts of data for consumers to engage with and fuel new innovation in supply chain analytics.

Techies More Approachable: Silicon Valley layoffs and tougher work policies provide a window for traditionally less sexy retail tech teams to attract strong talent on the rebound.

Telco

Nadine Manjaro, Director, Industry Consultant in Telecommunications and IoT

Fixed Wireless Access: In 2023 US operators will deploy more Fixed Wireless Access solutions.

They will focus on streamlining offers to areas where they have excess network capacity to prevent negative impacts to mobile voice and data services. T-Mobile will continue the lead in the US with over 1.5 million FWA customers through September 2022, followed by Verizon with 1 million FWA customers. Both companies have publicly shared FWA subscribers’ projections. Verizon’s plans to reach 4 to 5 million subscribers by 2025 and T-Mobile’s plans to reach 7 or 8 million within a similar period.

Private 5G: There will also be an expansion of Private 5G services in manufacturing and retail enterprises to optimise manufacturing processes and retail experiences. Large enterprises are seeking end-to-end visibility throughout the manufacturing process as well as the supply chain process. Private 5G will enable more consistent coverage and support more advanced capabilities such as machine vision analytics which enables manufacturers to spot defects earlier and take corrective actions before the produce reached finished goods status.

Cellular/Satellite Partnerships: Expansion of cellular/satellite partnerships to extend coverage to remote and underserved areas. SpaceX and T-Mobile are teaming up to deploy cellular systems on low orbit satellites, this will fill in some coverage gaps in remote areas along some less travelled roads, national parks, and deserts.

Telcos in the cloud: Many Telcos will continue migrating their data to the cloud as a means of reducing costs and enabling wider use of data insights for decision making throughout the different departments. They will encounter cost overruns since some of the providers selected demonstrated value with small, limited workloads. As they move to scale the workloads, they will encounter migration issues, cost over-runs and performance limitations.

Security: Security management will continue to be a major concern in terms of who has access to their environment. This will delay the movement of some workloads to the cloud. The next generation data architecture will be multi-cloud, hybrid with on-prem, multi-vendor ecosystem which enables internal enterprise data marketplaces.

ARPU erosion: In the US, mobile data, and voice ARPU will decrease as operators compete to win subscribers in an oversubscribed market. Customers are more cost conscious because of inflationary pressures and will be more likely to switch providers based on free device offers and lower service charges. This will drive operators to lower the cost of mobile services which will erode ARPU.

C-band deployments: Verizon and AT&T will continue to expand C-band deployments to cover a larger segment of the US population and to gain ground on T-Mobile who has the best spectrum assets in the low and mid bands. They will also need C-band to expand Fixed

Wireless Access services with higher data rates than lower band spectrum.

Consumers win: Consumers will benefit with lower prices and better service. Those who are in remote areas with limited access to broadband will have more options with FWA and satellite to cellular partnerships such as the announced partnership with T-Mobile and SpaceX Starlink satellites. As more devices with both satellite and cellular capabilities proliferate, users can access service from anywhere on earth or even at sea. In addition, businesses will be able to track shipments across the entire route without coverage gaps. Initial coverage with start with test and multi-media but will later expand to voice and data coverage.

Healthcare

John Matthews, Managing Director Healthcare & Life Sciences

Shifts to digital: We will continue to see more shifts to digital settings across industries, but in particular for healthcare as virtual visits and digital consults have made a huge difference in a supply constrained regulated environment. Who wants to actually drive to the doctor when one can video chat just as effectively for many needs?

The politics of healthcare: The politics of healthcare remains so we’ll continue to see big fights over government spending in Medicare and Medicaid, as well as increasing debate over drug pricing. This fight, the lobbying dollars, the election season megaphones will simply not go away as entrenched interests, change agents, and economic realities contend in the public square.

FinTech

Simon Axon, Industry Consulting Director, EMEA

ESG will continue to define banking in 2023: Governments and world leaders are under increasing pressure to implement stronger regulation and legislation that will demonstrate real change and commitment. Ultimately, governments see financial services as a vehicle to implement net zero policies, as well as to accelerate the path to net zero. We will see the cost of money becoming much higher for carbon damaging activity in the coming year, with more favourable rates provided to those implementing sustainable activities. To do so, banks will need granular information on a host of factors that determine the level of environmental impacts over time and risk across all sectors and all kinds of assets and investments.

Disruption as the “New Normal”: The repeated disruptions felt as a result of COVID-19, Brexit, war and political turmoil have, unsurprisingly, had a detrimental impact on the financial industry – as we’re seeing now with the ongoing rise of inflation and the increased cost of living. While ad-hoc crises are nothing new, these back-to-back and sometimes simultaneous crises is not something the industry has ever had to contend with. In 2023, the banking industry will need to further adapt as the definition of who is categorised as a ‘vulnerable’ customer changes. Banks will need smarter analytics in order to identify these vulnerable customers, with new factors calculating these scores, centred around reliability of income, as opposed to income vs. expenditure. The data needed to understand your customer base, therefore, will need to be more nuanced than it previously was.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Business

Conflicting with compliance: How the finance sector is struggling to implement GenAI

By James Sherlow, Systems Engineering Director, EMEA, for Cequence Security

GenerativeAI has multiple applications in the finance sector from product development to customer relations to marketing and sales. In fact, McKinsey estimates that GenAI has the potential to improve operating profits in the finance sector by between 9-15% and in the banking sector, productivity gains could be between 3-5% of annual revenues. It suggests AI tools could be used to boost customer liaison with AI integrated through APIs to give real-time recommendations either autonomously or via CSRs, to inform decision making and expedite day-to-day tasks for employees, and to decrease risk by monitoring for fraud or elevated instances of risk.

However, McKinsey also warns of inhibitors to adoption in the sector. These include the level of regulation applicable to different processes, which is fairly low with respect to customer relations but high for credit risk scoring, for example, and the data used, some of is in the public domain but some of which comprises personally identifiable information (PII) which is highly sensitive. If these issues can be overcome, the analyst estimates GenAI could more than double the application of expertise to decision making, planning and creative tasks from 25% without to 56%.

Hamstrung by regulations

Clearly the business use cases are there but unlike other sectors, finance is currently being hamstrung by regulations that have yet to catch up with the AI revolution. Unlike in the EU which approved the AI Act in March, the UK has no plans to regulate the technology. Instead, it intends to promote guidelines. The UK Financial Authorities comprising the Bank of England, PRA, and FCA have been canvassing the market on what these should look like since October 2022, publishing the results (FS2/23 – AI and Machine Learning) a year later which showed a strong demand for harmonisation with the likes of the AI Act as well as NIST’s AI Risk Management Framework.

Right now, this means financial providers find themselves in regulatory limbo. If we look at cyber security, for instance, firms are being presented with GenAI-enabled solutions that can assist them with incident detection and response but they’re not able to utilise that functionality because it contravenes compliance requirements. Decision-making processes are a key example as these must be made by a human, tracked and audited and, while the decision-making capabilities of GenAI may be on a par, accountability in remains a grey area. Consequently, many firms are erring on the side of caution and are choosing to deactivate AI functionality within their security solutions.

In fact, a recent EY report found one in five financial services leaders did not think their organisation was well-positioned to take advantage of the potential benefits. Much will depend on how easily the technology can be integrated into existing frameworks, although the GenAI and the Banking on AI: Financial Services Harnesses Generative AI for Security and Service report cautions this may take three to five years. That’s a long time in the world of GenAI, which has already come a long way since it burst on to the market 18 months ago.

Malicious AI

The danger is that while the sector drags its heels, threat actors will show no such qualms and will be quick to capitalise on the technology to launch attacks. FS2/23 makes the point that GenAI could see an increase in money laundering and fraud through the use of deep fakes, for instance, and sophisticated phishing campaigns. We’re still in the learning phase but as the months tick by the expectation is that we can expect to see high-volume self-learning attacks by the end of the year. These will be on an unprecedented scale because GenAI will lower the technological barrier to entry, enabling new threat actors to enter the fray.

Simply blocking attacks will no longer be a sufficient form of defence because GenAI will quickly regroup or pivot the attack automatically without the need to employ additional resource. If we look at how APIs, which are intrinsic to customer services and open banking for instance, are currently protected, the emphasis has been on detection and blocking but going forward we can expect deceptive response to play a far greater role. This frustrates and exhausts the resources of the attacker, making the attacks cost-prohibitive to sustain.

So how should the sector look to embrace AI given the current state of regulatory flux? As with any digital transformation project, there needs to be oversight of how AI will be used within the business, with a working group tasked to develop an AI framework. In addition to NIST, there are a number of security standards that can help here such as ISO 22989, ISO 23053, ISO 23984 and ISO 42001 and the oversight framework set out in DORA (Digital Operational Resilience Act) for third party providers. The framework should encompass the tools the firm has with AI functionality, their possible application in terms of use cases, and the risks associated with these, as well as how it will mitigate any areas of high risk.

Taking a proactive approach makes far more sense than suspending the use of AI which effectively places firms at the mercy of adversaries who will be quick to take advantage of the technology. These are tumultuous times and we can certainly expect AI to rewrite the rulebook when it comes to attack and defence. But firms must get to grips with how they can integrate the technology rather than electing to switch it off and continue as usual.

Continue Reading

Business

Recognising the value of protecting intellectual property early builds strong foundation for innovators

Innovation Manager at InnoScot Health, Fiona Schaefer analyses an essential facet of developing ideas into innovations

Helping the NHS to innovate remains a key priority during this period of recovery and reform. Even within the current cash-strapped climate, there is the opportunity to maximise the first-hand experience of the healthcare workforce and its knowledge of where new ideas are needed most.

Entrepreneurial-minded, creative staff from any discipline or activity are often best placed to recognise areas for improvement – the reason why a significant number of solutions come from, and are best developed with, health and social care staff.

NHS Scotland is a powerful driver of innovation, but to truly harness the opportunities which new ideas offer for development and commercialisation, the knowledge and intellectual property (IP) underpinning them needs to be protected. That vital know-how and other intangible assets – holding appropriate contracts for example – are key from an early stage.

Medical devices can take years to develop and gain regulatory approval, so from the outset of an idea’s development – and before revenue is generated – filing for IP protection and having confidentiality agreements in place are ways to start creating valuable assets. This is especially important when applying for patent protection because that option is only available when ideas have not been discussed or presented to external parties prior to application.

Without taking that critical initial step to protect IP, anyone – without your permission – could copy the idea, so anything of worth should be protected as soon as possible, making for a clear competitive advantage and ownership in the same sense as possessing physical property.

The common theme is that to be successful – and ultimately support the commercialisation of ideas that will improve patient care and outcomes – the idea must be novel, better, quicker, or more efficient than existing options. Furthermore, to turn it into a sound proposition worth investing in, it must also be technically and financially feasible. It isn’t enough to just be new and novel – the best innovations offer tangible benefits to patient outcomes and staff working practices.

Of course, even more so in the current climate of financial constraints, the key question of ‘Who will pay for your new product or service?’ needs to be considered up front as well.

Whilst development of a strong IP portfolio requires investment and dedicated expertise, when done well and at the appropriate time, then it is resource well spent, offering a level of security whilst developing an asset which can be built upon and traded. There are various ways commercialisation can progress and whilst not all efforts will be successful, intellectual property is an asset which can be licensed or sold to others offering a range of opportunities to secure a good return.

In my experience, however, many organisations including the NHS are still missing the opportunity to recognise and protect their knowledge assets and intellectual property early in the innovation pathway. This is partly due to lack of understanding – sometimes one aspect is carefully protected, whilst another is entirely neglected. In other cases, the desire to accelerate to the next stage of product development means such important foundational steps are not given the attention required for long-term success.

Good IP management goes beyond formally protecting the knowledge assets associated with a project, e.g. by patenting or design registration, however. When considered with other intangible assets such as access to datasets, clinical trial results, standard operating procedures, quality management systems, and regulatory approvals, it is the combination which will be key to success.

Early securing of IP protection or recognition of IP rights in a collaboration agreement, demonstrates foresight and business acumen. Later on, it can significantly boost negotiating power with a licensing partner or build investor confidence.

Conversely, omissions in IP protection or suitable contracts can be damaging, potentially derailing years of product development and exposing organisations to legal challenges and other risks. Failing to protect a promising idea can also mean commercial opportunities are missed, thus leading to your IP being undervalued.

Ideas are evaluated by formal NHS Scotland partner InnoScot Health in the same way whether they are big or small, a product, service, or new, innovative approach to a care pathway.

We encourage and enable all 160,000 NHS Scotland staff, regardless of role or location, to come forward with their ideas, giving them the advice and support they need to maximise their potential benefits.

Protecting the IP rights of the health service is one of the cornerstones of InnoScot Health’s service offering. In fact, to date we have protected over 255 NHS Scotland innovations. Recently these have included design registration and trademarks for the SARUS® hood and trademarks for SCRAM®, building and protecting a recognised range of bags with innovative, intuitive layouts. Spin outs such as Aurum Biosciences meanwhile have patents underpinning their novel therapeutics and diagnostics.

We assist in managing this IP to ensure a return on investment for the health service. Any revenue generated from commercialising ideas and innovations from healthcare professionals is shared with the innovators and the health board through our agreements with them and the revenue sharing scheme detailed in health board IP and innovation policies.

Fundamentally, we believe that it is vital to harness the value of expertise and creativity of staff with a well-considered approach to protecting IP and knowledge input to projects from the start.

Continue Reading

Business

Time is running out: NHS and their digital evolution journey

By Nej Gakenyi, CEO and Founder of GRM Digital

Many businesses have embarked on their digital evolution journey, transforming their technology offerings to upgrade their digital services in an effective and user-friendly way. Whilst this might be very successful for smaller and newer businesses, but for large corporations with long-standing legacy infrastructure, what does this mean? Recently the UK government pledged £6bn of new funding for the NHS, and the impact this funding and investment could have if executed properly, could revolutionise the UK public healthcare sector.

The NHS has always been a leader in terms of technology for medical purposes but where it has fallen down is in the streamlining of patient data, information and needs, which can lead to a breakdown in trust and the faith that the healthcare system is not a robust one. Therefore, the primary objective of additional funding must be to implement advanced data and digital technologies, to improve the digital health of the NHS and the overall health of the UK population, as well as revitalise both management efficiency and working practices.

Providing digital care

Digitalisation falls into two categories when it comes to the NHS – digitising traditionally ‘physical’ services like offering remote appointments and keeping electronic paper records, and a greater reliance on more innovative approaches driven by advances in technology. It is common knowledge that electronic services differ in GP practices across the country; and to have a drastically good or bad experience which is solely dependent on a geographical lottery contradicts the very purpose of offering an overarching healthcare provision to society at large.

By streamlining services and investing in proper infrastructure, a level playing field can be created which is vital when it comes to patients accessing both the care they need and their own personal history of appointments, GP interactions, diagnoses and medications. Through this approach, the NHS focus on creating world-leading care, provision of that care and potentially see waiting lists decrease due to the effective diagnosis and management enabled by slick and efficient technology.

This is especially important when looking at personalisedhealth support and developing a system that enables patients to receive care wherever they are and helps them monitor and manage long-term health conditions independently. This, alongside ensuring that technology and data collection supports improvements in both individual and population-level patient care, can only serve to streamline NHS efforts and create positive outcomes for both the patient and workforce.

Revolutionising patient experiences

A robust level of trust is critical to guaranteeing the success of any business or provision. If technology fails, so does the faith the customer or consumer has in the technology being designed to improve outcomes for them. An individual will always have some semblance of responsibility and ownership over their lives, well-being and health. Still, all of these key pillars can only stand strong when there is infrastructure in place to help drive positive results. Whilst there may be risks of excluding some groups of individuals with a digital-first approach, technology solutions can empower people to take control of their healthcare enabling the patient and NHS to work together. Tandem efforts between humans and technology

Technology must work in tandem with a workforce for it to be effective. This means the NHS workforce must be digitally savvy and have patient-centred care at the front and centre of all operations. Alongside any digital transformation the NHS adopts to improve patient outcomes, comes the need to assess current and future capability and capacity challenges, and build a workforce with the right skills to help shape an NHS that is fit for purpose.

This is just the beginning. With more invtesement and funding being allocated for the NHS this is the starting point, but for NHS decision-makers to ensure real benefits for patients, more still needs to be done. Effective digital evolution holds the key. Once the NHS has fully harnessed the poer of new and evolving technologies to change patient experiences throught the UK, with consistent communication and care, this will set the UK apart and will mark the NHS has a diriving example for accessible, digital healthcare.

Continue Reading

Copyright © 2021 Futures Parity.