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2023 Tech and Industry Predictions from Teradata Experts

By: Teradata experts

From advances in AI/ML tied to digital twins & simulations to the expansion of satellite/cellular partnerships to expand coverage to remote or under-served areas, our tech & industry experts weigh in on what they think are the game-changing predictions for 2023.

Technology & Business

Dan Spurling, SVP, Product Engineering

Trusted Social Connectedness: While Twitter is imploding, and social media is generally seen as a negative, I believe that humans still crave connectedness in this space – especially when it is intentionally curated to ensure dependence – but that we will require both 1) greater transparency into who is stating the information that we consume, while 2) ensuring some form of security and privacy only with those whom we select (obvious potential conflict)

Digital Twins: I believe there will be advances in the ML/AI evolution tied to digital twins or simulations; moving beyond just sensors that predict machine failure or buying propensities, and moving into predictions of economic markets, food production, population health, etc.

Data Reduction: There is an exponentially increasing amount of data, but I believe we will see rise of solutions that deduce the meaningful bits of data from the overall mass of data collected, or even reduce the footprint of data using new technologies beyond current classic data storage techniques

Personal Security: (Unfortunately) Driven by greater government destabilisation and associated erosion of trust in government, I believe we will see increasing tech advances in the areas of personnel security and security monitoring

Risk Aversion: I predict that there will be reduced willingness to take large risks or make investments into risky ideas, thereby increasing the success of entrenched incumbents and decreasing the broad proliferation of new tech adoption across the large enterprises, resulting in reduced startup growth and flat to growing revenue for large software or service providers.

Michael Hay, VP, Product Management

Consolidation, Concurrency and Currency: With the looming recession, there is a natural tendency to figure out how to do more with less. How to focus on profit overgrowth. As a result, customers will shrink their footprints and seek to do the same or more work. This speaks to deploying Data and Analytics systems that can incrementally scale, but return a benefit significantly larger than a nominal incremental investment. Another way to look at this is platforms that have the virtues of being cheaper to perform queries, experiment, and avoid the data copy tax will win.

More, not less, Cloud providers:

Two global patterns, increased protectionism and a strong shift towards profitability to weather the looming recession, point to the genesis of more, not less, cloud providers. These new providers can be one of:
• General providers focused on meeting country or region-specific protectionist policies and avoiding laws and regulations with global reach, like the USA Cloud Act.
• Cloud provider plays that emphasise a special focus on unique industry requirements. For example, Energy or Healthcare companies could shift their business towards providing cloud and analytics services with acute emphasis on their respective industries and regulatory regimes.
• SaaS companies who have reached sufficient scale and must become profitable to survive.
These providers will be looking for software and services that enable them to be successful as cloud providers, and companies who are capable of supplying them, will win.

Retail

Mike Skypala, Industry Lead, EMEA

Hybrid is here to stay: People are now using both online and offline formats to shop, with in-store experiences seen as a chance to touch, feel and see the products. Many retailers are following IKEA’s lead by showing consumers what a full “at-home room” could look like in their retail spaces, making it a more visually led interaction. This blended approach to shopping is likely to stick around, which adds a certain element of complexity for retailers looking to track and interact with customers on their purchase journey and understanding the profitability of each, with analytics helping to comprehend these shifts and changes in behaviour.

Cost conscious shopping will intensify in 2023: As the cost-of-living crisis continues, there will be a sustained focus on value and cost-effective shopping as we head into a New Year. With the launch of an “Essentials” range in almost every supermarket speaking to this ongoing focus, consumer spending on non-essential goods, including fashion, homeware and beauty is likely to also continue to fall. As a result, retailers should ensure a steady flow of canned foods and cupboard essentials as these remain the priority items for many.

Sustainability remains a priority: Though sustainability has been at the forefront of consumer minds for years now, we’ve yet to see it truly become a systemic part of a retailer’s business and baked into every decision made; instead, it is often a siloed group of ad-hoc initiatives. By collecting and examining data on a range of sustainability-related issues — from energy use and carbon emissions to mobile consumption habits — companies can generate insights that would drive their sustainability initiatives and inform their long-term strategy moving forward. It’s likely that some form of legislative policy will come in either within this coming year or the next, meaning retailers will have to reach a certain level of sustainable practice in order to keep trading.

Convenience shopping is set to get more convenient: It’s likely that automatic, “scan as you go” and self-check-out options will continue to increase around the country as consumers continue to demand more convenient, faster and streamlined shopping experiences. There’s an opportunity for retailers to expand on personalisation elements in real time, based on actions as consumers walk round the shop, moving away from static data and towards contextual data. Additionally, the U.S. is leading the way with computer vision and smart trollies in particular, which pick up both what is being put in a shopper’s trolley, as well as what needs replenishing on the shelves.

Dave Spear & David King, Senior Industry Consultants for the Retail, CPG & Hospitality

Industries at Teradata

Revenge of the CEO: Unlimited free returns? 15-minute delivery? Metaverse? Expect intense scrutiny from Finance on the ROI and NPV of such investments, with a tougher hurdle due to rising interest rates. Expect “sure” cost reduction proposals to win over “wishful” growth projects as investors crave cashflow and profitability.

Healthy Dose of Retail: Health retailing continues to blur the line between traditional healthcare providers and general retailers. We’ll see more small and large acquisitions by companies like Amazon, Walmart, Target, CVS and Walgreens, all trying to deliver new health services at affordable prices.

QR Beyond James Bond: QR-codes make a giant leap forward in retail. These square codes will unlock huge amounts of data for consumers to engage with and fuel new innovation in supply chain analytics.

Techies More Approachable: Silicon Valley layoffs and tougher work policies provide a window for traditionally less sexy retail tech teams to attract strong talent on the rebound.

Telco

Nadine Manjaro, Director, Industry Consultant in Telecommunications and IoT

Fixed Wireless Access: In 2023 US operators will deploy more Fixed Wireless Access solutions.

They will focus on streamlining offers to areas where they have excess network capacity to prevent negative impacts to mobile voice and data services. T-Mobile will continue the lead in the US with over 1.5 million FWA customers through September 2022, followed by Verizon with 1 million FWA customers. Both companies have publicly shared FWA subscribers’ projections. Verizon’s plans to reach 4 to 5 million subscribers by 2025 and T-Mobile’s plans to reach 7 or 8 million within a similar period.

Private 5G: There will also be an expansion of Private 5G services in manufacturing and retail enterprises to optimise manufacturing processes and retail experiences. Large enterprises are seeking end-to-end visibility throughout the manufacturing process as well as the supply chain process. Private 5G will enable more consistent coverage and support more advanced capabilities such as machine vision analytics which enables manufacturers to spot defects earlier and take corrective actions before the produce reached finished goods status.

Cellular/Satellite Partnerships: Expansion of cellular/satellite partnerships to extend coverage to remote and underserved areas. SpaceX and T-Mobile are teaming up to deploy cellular systems on low orbit satellites, this will fill in some coverage gaps in remote areas along some less travelled roads, national parks, and deserts.

Telcos in the cloud: Many Telcos will continue migrating their data to the cloud as a means of reducing costs and enabling wider use of data insights for decision making throughout the different departments. They will encounter cost overruns since some of the providers selected demonstrated value with small, limited workloads. As they move to scale the workloads, they will encounter migration issues, cost over-runs and performance limitations.

Security: Security management will continue to be a major concern in terms of who has access to their environment. This will delay the movement of some workloads to the cloud. The next generation data architecture will be multi-cloud, hybrid with on-prem, multi-vendor ecosystem which enables internal enterprise data marketplaces.

ARPU erosion: In the US, mobile data, and voice ARPU will decrease as operators compete to win subscribers in an oversubscribed market. Customers are more cost conscious because of inflationary pressures and will be more likely to switch providers based on free device offers and lower service charges. This will drive operators to lower the cost of mobile services which will erode ARPU.

C-band deployments: Verizon and AT&T will continue to expand C-band deployments to cover a larger segment of the US population and to gain ground on T-Mobile who has the best spectrum assets in the low and mid bands. They will also need C-band to expand Fixed

Wireless Access services with higher data rates than lower band spectrum.

Consumers win: Consumers will benefit with lower prices and better service. Those who are in remote areas with limited access to broadband will have more options with FWA and satellite to cellular partnerships such as the announced partnership with T-Mobile and SpaceX Starlink satellites. As more devices with both satellite and cellular capabilities proliferate, users can access service from anywhere on earth or even at sea. In addition, businesses will be able to track shipments across the entire route without coverage gaps. Initial coverage with start with test and multi-media but will later expand to voice and data coverage.

Healthcare

John Matthews, Managing Director Healthcare & Life Sciences

Shifts to digital: We will continue to see more shifts to digital settings across industries, but in particular for healthcare as virtual visits and digital consults have made a huge difference in a supply constrained regulated environment. Who wants to actually drive to the doctor when one can video chat just as effectively for many needs?

The politics of healthcare: The politics of healthcare remains so we’ll continue to see big fights over government spending in Medicare and Medicaid, as well as increasing debate over drug pricing. This fight, the lobbying dollars, the election season megaphones will simply not go away as entrenched interests, change agents, and economic realities contend in the public square.

FinTech

Simon Axon, Industry Consulting Director, EMEA

ESG will continue to define banking in 2023: Governments and world leaders are under increasing pressure to implement stronger regulation and legislation that will demonstrate real change and commitment. Ultimately, governments see financial services as a vehicle to implement net zero policies, as well as to accelerate the path to net zero. We will see the cost of money becoming much higher for carbon damaging activity in the coming year, with more favourable rates provided to those implementing sustainable activities. To do so, banks will need granular information on a host of factors that determine the level of environmental impacts over time and risk across all sectors and all kinds of assets and investments.

Disruption as the “New Normal”: The repeated disruptions felt as a result of COVID-19, Brexit, war and political turmoil have, unsurprisingly, had a detrimental impact on the financial industry – as we’re seeing now with the ongoing rise of inflation and the increased cost of living. While ad-hoc crises are nothing new, these back-to-back and sometimes simultaneous crises is not something the industry has ever had to contend with. In 2023, the banking industry will need to further adapt as the definition of who is categorised as a ‘vulnerable’ customer changes. Banks will need smarter analytics in order to identify these vulnerable customers, with new factors calculating these scores, centred around reliability of income, as opposed to income vs. expenditure. The data needed to understand your customer base, therefore, will need to be more nuanced than it previously was.

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Business

Adapting compliance in a fragmented regulatory world

Rasha Abdel Jalil, Director of Financial Crime & Compliance at Eastnets, discusses the operational and strategic shifts needed to stay ahead of regulatory compliance in 2025 and beyond.

As we move through 2025, financial institutions face an unprecedented wave of regulatory change. From the EU’s Digital Operational Resilience Act (DORA) to the UK’s Basel 3.1 rollout and upcoming PSD3, the volume and velocity of new requirements are constantly reshaping how banks operate.

But it’s not just the sheer number of regulations that’s creating pressure. It’s the fragmentation and unpredictability. Jurisdictions are moving at different speeds, with overlapping deadlines and shifting expectations. Regulators are tightening controls, accelerating timelines and increasing penalties for non-compliance. And for financial compliance teams, it means navigating a landscape where the goalposts are constantly shifting.

Financial institutions must now strike a delicate balance: staying agile enough to respond to rapid regulatory shifts, while making sure their compliance frameworks are robust, scalable and future-ready.

The new regulatory compliance reality

By October of this year, financial institutions will have to navigate a dense cluster of regulatory compliance deadlines, each with its own scope, jurisdictional nuance and operational impact. From updated Common Reporting Standard (CRS) obligations, which applies to over 100 countries around the world, to Australia’s new Prudential Standard (CPS) 230 on operational risk, the scope of change is both global and granular.

Layered on top are sweeping EU regulations like the AI Act and the Instant Payments Regulation, the latter coming into force in October. These frameworks introduce new rules and redefine how institutions must manage data, risk and operational resilience, forcing financial compliance teams to juggle multiple reporting and governance requirements. A notable development is Verification of Payee (VOP), which adds a crucial layer of fraud protection for instant payments. This directly aligns with the regulator’s focus on instant payment security and compliance.

The result is a compliance environment that’s increasingly fragmented and unforgiving. In fact, 75% of compliance decision makers in Europe’s financial services sector agree that regulatory demands on their compliance teams have significantly increased over the past year. To put it simply, many are struggling to keep pace with regulatory change.

But why is it so difficult for teams to adapt?

The answer lies in a perfect storm of structural and operational challenges. In many organisations, compliance data is trapped in silos spread across departments, jurisdictions and legacy platforms. Traditional approaches – built around periodic reviews, static controls and manual processes – are no longer fit for purpose. Yet despite mounting pressure, many teams face internal resistance to changing established ways of working, which further slows progress and reinforces outdated models. Meanwhile, the pace of regulatory change continues to accelerate, customer expectations are rising and geopolitical uncertainty adds further complexity.

At the same time, institutions are facing a growing compliance talent gap. As regulatory expectations become more complex, the skills required to manage them are evolving. Yet many firms are struggling to find and retain professionals with the right mix of legal, technical and operational expertise. Experienced professionals are retiring en-masse, while nearly half of the new entrants lack the right experience needed to step into these roles effectively. And as AI tools become more central to investigative and decision-making processes, the need for technical fluency within compliance teams is growing faster than organisations can upskill. This shortage is leaving compliance teams overstretched, under-resourced and increasingly reliant on outdated tools and processes.

Therefore, in this changing environment, the question suddenly becomes how can institutions adapt?

Staying compliant in a shifting landscape

The pressure to adapt is real, but so is the opportunity. Institutions that reframe compliance as a proactive, technology-driven capability can build a more resilient and responsive foundation that’s now essential to staying ahead of regulatory change.

This begins with real-time visibility. As regulatory timelines change and expectations rise, institutions need systems that can surface compliance risks as they emerge, not weeks or months later. This means adopting tools that provide continuous monitoring, automated alerts and dynamic reporting.

But visibility alone isn’t enough. To act on insights effectively, institutions also need interoperability – the ability to unify data from across departments, jurisdictions and platforms. A modern compliance architecture must consolidate inputs from siloed systems into a unified case manager to support cross-regulatory reporting and governance. This not only improves accuracy and efficiency but also allows for faster, more coordinated responses to regulatory change.

To manage growing complexity at scale, many institutions are now turning to AI-powered compliance tools. Traditional rules-based systems often struggle to distinguish between suspicious and benign activity, leading to high false positive rates and operational inefficiencies. AI, by contrast, can learn from historical data to detect subtle anomalies, adapt to evolving fraud tactics and prioritise high-risk alerts with greater precision.

When layered with alert triage capabilities, AI can intelligently suppress low-value alerts and false positives, freeing up human investigators to focus on genuinely suspicious activity. At the more advanced stages, deep learning models can detect behavioural changes and suspicious network clusters, providing a multi-dimensional view of risk that static systems simply can’t match.

Of course, transparency and explainability in AI models are crucial. With regulations like the EU AI Act mandating interpretability in AI-driven decisions, institutions must make sure that every alert or action taken by an AI system is auditable and understandable. This includes clear justifications, visual tools such as link analysis, and detailed logs that support human oversight.

Alongside AI, automation continues to play a key role in modern compliance strategies. Automated sanction screening tools and watchlist screening, for example, help institutions maintain consistency and accuracy across jurisdictions, especially as global lists evolve in response to geopolitical events.

Similarly, customisable regulatory reporting tools, powered by automation, allow compliance teams to adapt to shifting requirements under various frameworks. One example is the upcoming enforcement of ISO 20022, which introduces a global standard for payment messaging. Its structured data format demands upgraded systems and more precise compliance screening, making automation and data interoperability more critical than ever.

This is particularly important in light of the ongoing talent shortages across the sector. With newer entrants still building the necessary expertise, automation and AI can help bridge the gap and allow teams to focus on complex tasks instead.

The future of compliance

As the regulatory compliance landscape becomes more fragmented, compliance can no longer be treated as a tick-box exercise. It must evolve into a dynamic, intelligence-led capability, one that allows institutions to respond to change, manage risk proactively and operate with confidence across jurisdictions.

To achieve this, institutions must rethink how compliance is structured, resourced and embedded into the fabric of financial operations. Those that do, and use the right tools in the process, will be better positioned to meet the demands of regulators today and in the future.

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Business

Why Shorter SSL/TLS Certificate Lifespans Are the Perfect Wake-Up Call for CIOs

By Tim Callan, Chief Compliance Officer at Sectigo and Vice-Chair of the CA/Browser Forum

Let’s be honest: AI has been the headline act this year. It’s the rockstar of boardroom conversations and LinkedIn thought leadership. But while AI commands the spotlight, quantum computing is quietly tuning its instruments backstage. And when it steps forward, it won’t be playing backup. For CIOs, the smart move isn’t just watching the main stage — it’s preparing proactively for the moment quantum takes center stage and rewrites the rules of data protection.


Quantum computing is no longer a distant science project. NIST has already published standards for quantum-resistant algorithms and set a clear deadline: RSA and ECC, the cryptographic algorithms that protect today’s data, must be deprecated by 2030. We’re no longer talking about “forecasts;” we are talking about actual directives from government organizations to implement change. And yet, many organizations are still treating this like a future problem. The reality is that threat actors aren’t waiting. They’re collecting encrypted data now, knowing they’ll be able to decrypt it later. If we wait until quantum machines are commercially viable, we’ll be too late. The time to prepare is before the clock runs out and, unfortunately, that clock is already ticking.

For CIOs, this is an infrastructure and risk management crisis in the making. If your organization’s cryptographic infrastructure isn’t agile enough to adapt, the integrity of your digital operations and the trust they rely on could very soon be compromised.

The Quantum Threat Is Already Here

Quantum computing’s potential to disrupt global systems and the data that runs through it is not hypothetical. Attackers are already engaging in “Harvest Now, Decrypt Later” (HNDL) strategies, intercepting encrypted data today with the intent to decrypt it once quantum capabilities mature.

Recent research found that an alarming 60% of organizations are very or extremely concerned about HNDL attacks, and 59% express similar concern about “Trust Now, Forge Later” threats, where adversaries steal digitally signed documents to forge them in the future.

Despite this awareness, only 14% of organizations have conducted a full assessment of systems vulnerable to quantum attacks. Nearly half (43%) of organizations are still in a “wait and see” mode. For CIOs, this gap highlights the need for leadership: it’s not
enough to know the risks exist, you must identify which systems, applications, and data flows will still be sensitive in ten or twenty years and prioritize them for PQC migration.

Crypto Agility Is a Data Leadership Imperative

Crypto agility (the ability to rapidly identify, manage, and replace cryptographic assets) is now a core competency for IT leaders to ensure business continuity, compliance, and trust. The most immediate pressure point is SSL/TLS certificates. These certificates authenticate digital identities and secure communications across data pipelines, APIs, and partner integrations.

The CA/Browser Forum has mandated a phased reduction in certificate lifespans from 398 days today to just 47 days by 2029. The first milestone arrives in March 2026, when certificates must be renewed every six months, shrinking to near-monthly by 2029.

For CIOs, it’s not just an operational housekeeping issue. Every expired or mismanaged certificate is a potential data outage. That means application downtimes, broken integration, failed transactions and compliance violations. With less than 1 in 5 organizations prepared for monthly renewals, and only 5% fully automating their certificate management processes currently, most enterprises face serious continuity and trust risks.

The upside? Preparing for shortened certificate lifespans directly supports quantum readiness. Ninety percent of organizations recognize the overlap between certificate agility and post-quantum cryptography preparedness. By investing in automation now, CIOs can ensure uninterrupted operations today while laying a scalable foundation for future-proof cryptographic governance.

The Strategic Imperative of PQC Migration

Migrating to quantum-safe algorithms is not a plug-and-play upgrade. It’s a full-scale transformation. Ninety-eight percent of organizations expect challenges, with top barriers including system complexity, lack of expertise, and cross-team coordination. Legacy systems (many with hardcoded cryptographic functions) make this even harder.

That’s why establishing a Center of Cryptographic Excellence (CryptoCOE) is a critical first step. A CryptoCOE centralizes governance, aligns stakeholders, and drives execution. According to Gartner, by 2028 organizations with a CryptoCOE will save 50% of costs in their PQC transition compared to those without.

For CIOs, this is a natural extension of your role. Cryptography touches every layer of enterprise infrastructure. A CryptoCOE ensures that cryptographic decisions are made with full visibility into system dependencies, risk profiles and regulatory obligations.

By championing crypto agility as an infrastructure priority, CIOs can transform PQC migration from a technical project into a strategic initiative that protects the organization’s most critical assets.

The Road Ahead

The shift to 47-day certificates is a wake-up call. It marks the end of static cryptography and the beginning of a dynamic, agile era. Organizations that embrace this change will not only avoid outages and compliance failures, but they’ll be also prepared for the quantum future.

Crypto agility is both a technical capability and a leadership mandate. For CIOs, the path forward to quantum-resistant infrastructure can be clear: invest in automation, build cross-functional alignment, and treat cryptographic governance as a core pillar of enterprise resilience.

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Business

The Security Talent Gap is a Red Herring: It’s Really an Automation and Context Gap

by Tom Gol, Senior Product Manager Armis

We constantly hear about a cybersecurity staffing crisis, but perhaps the real challenge isn’t a lack of people. It might just be a critical shortage of intelligent automation and actionable context for the talented teams we already have.

The Lingering Shadow of the “Talent Gap” Narrative

It’s almost a mantra in cybersecurity circles: “There’s a massive talent gap!” Conferences echo it, reports reinforce it, and CISOs often feel it acutely. This widely accepted idea suggests we simply don’t have enough skilled professionals, leading to overworked teams, burnout, and, most critically, persistent organizational risk. The default response often becomes a relentless cycle of “buy more tools, tune more tools, and staff more teams”—a cycle that feels increasingly unsustainable and inefficient.

But what if this pervasive “talent gap” is actually a clever red herring, distracting us from a more fundamental issue? We’ve grown so accustomed to the narrative of a human deficit that we often overlook a crucial truth: current technology is already capable of significantly narrowing this very gap. My strong conviction is this: the true underlying problem isn’t a shortage of available talent, but a profound and crippling gap in intelligent automation and actionable context that prevents our existing cybersecurity professionals from operating at their full potential. What’s more, advancing on the technology side now presents a demonstrably better return on investment than simply trying to out-hire the problem. Fill that gap with smarter tech, and watch the perceived talent shortage shrink.

Misdiagnosis: When More People Isn’t the Answer

For too long, the cybersecurity industry’s knee-jerk reaction to mounting threats has been to throw more human resources at the problem. Yet, the attack surface continues its relentless expansion. Threat actors become more sophisticated. And our SOCs are constantly drowning in an unfiltered deluge of alerts. This creates an overwhelming workload that even the most seasoned experts find impossible to manage effectively, often resulting in burnout and, ironically, talent attrition rather than retention.

The issue isn’t that a lack of bright minds are joining the field. It’s that those brilliant minds often find themselves mired in monotonous, low-value tasks. They’re forced to operate in a thick fog of incomplete information, constantly sifting through noise. When security teams lack clarity on exactly what assets they own, how those assets connect, what their true business criticality is, and which threats are genuinely active, even the most experienced professional struggles. Their effectiveness diminishes, not from a lack of inherent skill, but from a fundamental absence of visibility and intelligent support.

Automation and AI: The True Force Multiplier for Human Talent

The real power move against the overwhelming tide of cyber threats lies not in endless recruitment, but in the intelligent application of automation and AI. Leading industry discussions increasingly highlight that the purpose of AI in cybersecurity isn’t about wholesale human replacement. Instead, it’s about augmenting our existing staff, turning them into a far more potent force. This approach fundamentally allows organizations to scale their expertise and impact without being shackled to proportional headcount increases. Let’s unpack how this transformation plays out.

Freeing Up Human Capital from the Mundane

Imagine a security analyst whose day is consumed by hours of manual investigation, enriching alerts, triaging false positives, responding to routine questionnaires, or laboriously transitioning tickets. These are precisely the kinds of non-human, deterministic, and highly repetitive tasks ripe for intelligent automation. AI agents can seamlessly take on this soul-crushing burden, liberating human analysts. They are then free to pivot towards higher-value, creative, judgment-based, and genuinely strategic work. This transforms security teams from reactive task-runners into proactive problem-solvers. Projections suggest that common SOC tasks could become significantly more cost-efficient in the coming years due to automation—a shift that’s not merely about saving money, but about amplifying human potential.

Supercharging Productivity and Experience

Modern AI, particularly multi-agent AI and generative AI, can proactively offer smart advice on configurations, predict the root causes of complex issues, and integrate effortlessly with existing automated frameworks. This empowers security professionals, making their work not just more efficient but also more engaging and less prone to drudgery.

The Indispensable Power of Context: Lowering the “Expertise Bar”

While automation tackles the sheer volume of work, context provides the vital clarity that fundamentally reduces the need for constant, deep-seated expertise in every single scenario. When security professionals have immediate, rich, and actionable context about a vulnerability or an emerging threat, the path to intelligent prioritization and decisive action becomes remarkably clearer.

Consider the profound difference this context makes:

  • Asset Context: Knowing not just that a vulnerability exists, but precisely which specific device it resides on—is it a critical production server, or an isolated, deprecated test machine?
  • Business Application Context: Understanding the exact business function tied to that asset, and the tangible financial or operational impact if it were to be compromised.
  • Network Context: Seeing the asset’s intricate network connections, its precise exposure level, and every potential path an attacker could take for lateral movement.
  • Compensating Controls Context: Having a clear, real-time picture of which existing security controls (like network segmentation, EDRs, or Intrusion Prevention Systems) are actually in place and effectively working to mitigate the vulnerability’s risk.
  • Threat Intelligence Context: Possessing real-time, “active exploit” intelligence that doesn’t just theorize, but tells you if a vulnerability is actively being exploited in the wild, or is part of a known attack campaign targeting your industry.

With this deep, multidimensional context, a significant portion of the exposure management workload can be automated. Crucially, for the tasks that still require human intervention, the “expertise bar” is dramatically lowered. My take is that for a vast majority of cases—perhaps 90% of scenarios—a security professional who isn’t a battle-hardened, 20-year veteran can still make incredibly effective decisions and significantly improve an organization’s cyber posture. This is because they are presented with clear, actionable context that naturally guides prioritization and even recommends precise actions. The result? A drastic reduction in alert noise, faster detection and response times, and a palpable easing of the burden on the entire security team.

Navigating the Human Element: Skills Evolution and Burnout

This powerful shift towards automation and AI naturally brings legitimate questions about skills erosion. Some experts prudently point out a valid risk: a significant portion of SOC teams might experience a regression in foundational analysis skills due to an over-reliance on automation. This underscores a critical truth: we must keep humans firmly in the loop. For highly autonomous SOCs, a “human-on-the-loop” approach is recommended, reserving human intervention for complex edge cases and critical exceptions.

CISOs, therefore, face an evolving mandate:

  • Future-Proofing Skills: It’s less about filling historical roles and more about nurturing new competencies like prompt engineering, sophisticated AI oversight, advanced critical thinking, and strategic problem-solving.
  • Combating Burnout: Beyond just tools, effective talent retention demands proactive measures to address burnout. This includes intelligent workload monitoring, smart task delegation, and genuine wellness initiatives. The ultimate goal isn’t just to fill empty seats; it’s to ensure that the people in those seats are effective, sustainable, and thriving.

A New Mindset for CISOs: Embracing the “Chief Innovation Security Officer” Role

The ongoing “talent gap” discussion should be a catalyst for CISOs to adopt a fundamentally new mindset. Instead of simply focusing on cost-cutting or the perpetual struggle of recruitment, they must evolve into “Chief Innovation Security Officers.” This means daring to rethink how work gets done, leveraging AI and automation not merely as tactical tools but as strategic enablers for scaling cybersecurity capabilities and unlocking the full potential of their existing talent. This strategic investment in technology, driven by an understanding of context, offers a superior ROI in bridging the cybersecurity “gap” compared to the increasingly futile effort to simply hire more people.

Building robust AI governance frameworks and achieving crystal-clear visibility into existing AI implementations and technical debt are crucial foundational steps. Ultimately, solving the perceived talent gap isn’t about endlessly hiring more people into an unsustainable system. It’s about empowering the talented individuals we do have—making them more efficient, more effective, and more strategically focused—through the intelligent application of automation and unparalleled context. It’s time to stop chasing a phantom gap and start truly empowering our digital defenders.

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