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Why banks must embrace technology to fight financial instability in 2023

Venkatesh Varadarajan, Partner, Financial Services, Infosys Consulting

Inflation and the cost-of-living crisis put consumers, businesses, and banks under tremendous economic stress, making 2022 one of the UK’s most unstable financial periods in more than 40 years.

The financial instability we faced this year highlighted clear market uncertainties, forcing banks to become more adaptable and flexible to the sudden switches in our monetary climate.

To help banks become more versatile in 2023, re-evaluating investment and streamlining processes must be core priorities. Banks will be focused on playing their part in safeguarding and supporting consumers against both fraud and financial instability, as well as trying to stay competitive against tech-savvy challengers. Based on these key priorities, here are five banking trends I expect to see in 2023.

Rates will remain high until the market stabilises

The switching trend will continue into 2023 as consumers search around for better deals amidst a difficult economic situation. Banks are in wait-and-watch mode right now. They are passing additional costs on to consumers, effectively bumping up interest rates in the sentiment that these will increase even further next year. It’s unlikely they will go head-to-head with each other and offer aggressive rates, due to ongoing market uncertainties. We’ve already seen them take stock, withdraw offers and hike up mortgage rates. High rates will remain well into next year, and at least until the market situation stabilises further.   

Globalisation of banking has opened the door to lurking fraudsters

The globalisation of banking is opening finance up to a whole variety of new fraud situations. Increasingly, consumers can move finances online between standalone bank accounts in different countries, but this heightens the risk of money laundering and financial crime. In 2023, we’ll see more banks attempt to combat this by adopting tools that enable the earlier detection of suspicious activity in transactions. AI and machine learning tools have already seen a lot of traction post-Covid and during the economic bounce back. However, adoption will become more widespread as banks look to conduct data-backed sense checks which can identify causes and ensure the detection of fraud much earlier in the lifecycle.   

Both banks and insurance firms will continue to beef up operational, security and technology remediation activities to better identify potential risks. This means more audits of various processes, including legacy technology and disaster recovery. As threats increasingly target these business-critical areas post-Covid, we’ll see more programmes being driven under direct guidance from leadership, and teams bolstered by SMEs and external support.   

The demand for innovation through Buy Now Pay Later

Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) is here to stay. It’s cemented itself as a new payment method, offering a flexible, faster way for consumers to purchase items. In the past year, we’ve seen UK banks like NatWest, HSBC, Monzo and Virgin Money all launch BNPL products, to increase appeal amongst younger customers where demand for the service is high. In 2023, we’ll see the bigger players move from strength to strength in this area, buoyed by consumers typically gravitating towards more established banks during economic uncertainty.   

This isn’t to say smaller players like Klarna will suffer. In 2023, we can expect the tussle between the two sides to continue. As the cost-of-living crisis continues, a key challenge is ensuring consumers don’t overspend and fall into debt. Bigger banks have an upper hand as they can access rich customer data based on multiple transactions, credit cards and mortgages. On the other hand, fintechs like Klarna and Clearpay are far nimbler and quicker at mining this information. Both sides will need to better utilise these capabilities, as it’s likely more regulation will be introduced in 2023 requiring firms to check customers can afford to use their products.   

The promise and potential of virtual banking

The Metaverse is still a relatively small market, but it’ll grow substantially over the next decade—forecasts suggest by almost 40% yearly between 2022 and 2030. A lot of banks are already using the metaverse for training purposes, but it has huge potential to enhance the customer experience and excite customers to bank and shop for new products. Virtual banking is a growing space and can help keep banking costs down, reducing the need for physical space and enabling branch optimisation.   

Big tech is already placing large stakes in this, and the intersection of tech and financial services will accelerate over the next few years. Major players like Meta, Apple, and Amazon all have a deep understanding of customer behaviour. They will use this data to wire up consumers in various ways and financial services are a critical component of this.   

In terms of regulation, it’ll be smaller rules coming in that impact other channels, rather than big-ticket ones that we see in capital markets or investment banking. Like we’ve seen with certain sets of regulations introduced off the back of branch openings, then contact centres, then the internet and most recently mobile banking, the metaverse will be the next stage in this process as we look to virtual banks.   

The younger generations appeal to stocks and shares

Capital markets activity will continue to grow despite market volatility as more consumers invest in stocks and Isas. Previously, the customer base in capital markets was very institutional in nature. However, the pendulum has swung, especially towards younger generations, thanks to the accessibility and ease of stocks and shares platforms online and consumers sitting on more savings from lockdown which they are willing to invest.   

These platforms have not only increased awareness and knowledge around investing, but low or zero fees charged have made it far easier to invest smaller sums of money. We’ll see momentum with capital markets activity continuing into 2023 and beyond as younger consumers look to grow their investments in the long term.   

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Business

Why email marketing remains one of the best forms of digital marketing

Crafting a strong email marketing strategy involves a real balance between creativity and making data-driven decisions, which, is just one of the roles undertaken by marketing and data company Go Live Data on behalf of its many clients.

Guiding some of the biggest corporates in the UK including Amazon Business, AxA and Premierline Business Insurance, Adam Herbert, CEO of Go Live Data, advises on the key components to a successful email campaign and why as one of the most effective marketing tools available, email still plays a crucial role in digital marketing:

Forming a direct means of communication, emails provides a and two-way access between businesses and their customers. And it may sound obvious to say, but unlike social media or other digital channels, every email allows marketers to reach their audience straight into their inbox, and this is where individuals are most likely to engage with the content they’re being shown.

Offering a high return on investment,  emails consistently deliver one of the highest ROI’s compared to other forms of digital marketing such as PPC and advertising. According to studies, the average is around £40 for every £1 spent, which is huge; and due to the low cost of email, its ability to drive conversions and to retain customers.

What’s more, with email segmentation and many personalisation techniques available, marketers can tailor their messages to specific groups of their audience, based on demographics, their behaviours, interests, and purchase history making them not only very targeted, but personalised too. The key is to deliver relevant content to subscribers, which means marketers can increase engagement, conversions, as well as customer satisfaction.

There are specific platforms which allow for automation, giving marketers the ability to set up automated workflows triggered by user actions and also means that marketers can deliver timely and relevant messages at scale, by nurturing leads, as an effective way to guide customers efficiently through the sales funnel.

Emails are also an excellent way to build customer relationships, by nurturing over time. By consistently delivering valuable content, exclusive offers, and personalised recommendations, businesses can strengthen the ‘bond’ with their audiences and increase brand loyalty. Email provides a means of two-way communication, which allows customers to send in their feedback, to ask any questions they may have and to  engage with a brand directly.

They are also a great way to drive traffic to your website, blog and social media, or any other digital channels connected to your business. By including attractive or compelling calls-to-action (CTAs) and relevant content, you can encourage subscribers to take action such as making a purchase, signing up for a webinar, or downloading a resource, which in turn will drive conversions and revenue for your business.

Email platforms offer substantial analytics and reporting functions that enable marketers to track the performance of their campaigns in real-time. Monitoring of key metrics such as open rates, click-through rates, conversion rates, and revenue generated, allows marketers to measure the effectiveness of their campaigns and of course make data-driven decisions to optimise and plan future activities.

Overall, emails are an integral component of a digital marketing and by leveraging email effectively, businesses can engage their audience, nurture leads, drive sales, and ultimately grow their businesses.

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Business

Conflicting with compliance: How the finance sector is struggling to implement GenAI

By James Sherlow, Systems Engineering Director, EMEA, for Cequence Security

GenerativeAI has multiple applications in the finance sector from product development to customer relations to marketing and sales. In fact, McKinsey estimates that GenAI has the potential to improve operating profits in the finance sector by between 9-15% and in the banking sector, productivity gains could be between 3-5% of annual revenues. It suggests AI tools could be used to boost customer liaison with AI integrated through APIs to give real-time recommendations either autonomously or via CSRs, to inform decision making and expedite day-to-day tasks for employees, and to decrease risk by monitoring for fraud or elevated instances of risk.

However, McKinsey also warns of inhibitors to adoption in the sector. These include the level of regulation applicable to different processes, which is fairly low with respect to customer relations but high for credit risk scoring, for example, and the data used, some of is in the public domain but some of which comprises personally identifiable information (PII) which is highly sensitive. If these issues can be overcome, the analyst estimates GenAI could more than double the application of expertise to decision making, planning and creative tasks from 25% without to 56%.

Hamstrung by regulations

Clearly the business use cases are there but unlike other sectors, finance is currently being hamstrung by regulations that have yet to catch up with the AI revolution. Unlike in the EU which approved the AI Act in March, the UK has no plans to regulate the technology. Instead, it intends to promote guidelines. The UK Financial Authorities comprising the Bank of England, PRA, and FCA have been canvassing the market on what these should look like since October 2022, publishing the results (FS2/23 – AI and Machine Learning) a year later which showed a strong demand for harmonisation with the likes of the AI Act as well as NIST’s AI Risk Management Framework.

Right now, this means financial providers find themselves in regulatory limbo. If we look at cyber security, for instance, firms are being presented with GenAI-enabled solutions that can assist them with incident detection and response but they’re not able to utilise that functionality because it contravenes compliance requirements. Decision-making processes are a key example as these must be made by a human, tracked and audited and, while the decision-making capabilities of GenAI may be on a par, accountability in remains a grey area. Consequently, many firms are erring on the side of caution and are choosing to deactivate AI functionality within their security solutions.

In fact, a recent EY report found one in five financial services leaders did not think their organisation was well-positioned to take advantage of the potential benefits. Much will depend on how easily the technology can be integrated into existing frameworks, although the GenAI and the Banking on AI: Financial Services Harnesses Generative AI for Security and Service report cautions this may take three to five years. That’s a long time in the world of GenAI, which has already come a long way since it burst on to the market 18 months ago.

Malicious AI

The danger is that while the sector drags its heels, threat actors will show no such qualms and will be quick to capitalise on the technology to launch attacks. FS2/23 makes the point that GenAI could see an increase in money laundering and fraud through the use of deep fakes, for instance, and sophisticated phishing campaigns. We’re still in the learning phase but as the months tick by the expectation is that we can expect to see high-volume self-learning attacks by the end of the year. These will be on an unprecedented scale because GenAI will lower the technological barrier to entry, enabling new threat actors to enter the fray.

Simply blocking attacks will no longer be a sufficient form of defence because GenAI will quickly regroup or pivot the attack automatically without the need to employ additional resource. If we look at how APIs, which are intrinsic to customer services and open banking for instance, are currently protected, the emphasis has been on detection and blocking but going forward we can expect deceptive response to play a far greater role. This frustrates and exhausts the resources of the attacker, making the attacks cost-prohibitive to sustain.

So how should the sector look to embrace AI given the current state of regulatory flux? As with any digital transformation project, there needs to be oversight of how AI will be used within the business, with a working group tasked to develop an AI framework. In addition to NIST, there are a number of security standards that can help here such as ISO 22989, ISO 23053, ISO 23984 and ISO 42001 and the oversight framework set out in DORA (Digital Operational Resilience Act) for third party providers. The framework should encompass the tools the firm has with AI functionality, their possible application in terms of use cases, and the risks associated with these, as well as how it will mitigate any areas of high risk.

Taking a proactive approach makes far more sense than suspending the use of AI which effectively places firms at the mercy of adversaries who will be quick to take advantage of the technology. These are tumultuous times and we can certainly expect AI to rewrite the rulebook when it comes to attack and defence. But firms must get to grips with how they can integrate the technology rather than electing to switch it off and continue as usual.

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Business

Recognising the value of protecting intellectual property early builds strong foundation for innovators

Innovation Manager at InnoScot Health, Fiona Schaefer analyses an essential facet of developing ideas into innovations

Helping the NHS to innovate remains a key priority during this period of recovery and reform. Even within the current cash-strapped climate, there is the opportunity to maximise the first-hand experience of the healthcare workforce and its knowledge of where new ideas are needed most.

Entrepreneurial-minded, creative staff from any discipline or activity are often best placed to recognise areas for improvement – the reason why a significant number of solutions come from, and are best developed with, health and social care staff.

NHS Scotland is a powerful driver of innovation, but to truly harness the opportunities which new ideas offer for development and commercialisation, the knowledge and intellectual property (IP) underpinning them needs to be protected. That vital know-how and other intangible assets – holding appropriate contracts for example – are key from an early stage.

Medical devices can take years to develop and gain regulatory approval, so from the outset of an idea’s development – and before revenue is generated – filing for IP protection and having confidentiality agreements in place are ways to start creating valuable assets. This is especially important when applying for patent protection because that option is only available when ideas have not been discussed or presented to external parties prior to application.

Without taking that critical initial step to protect IP, anyone – without your permission – could copy the idea, so anything of worth should be protected as soon as possible, making for a clear competitive advantage and ownership in the same sense as possessing physical property.

The common theme is that to be successful – and ultimately support the commercialisation of ideas that will improve patient care and outcomes – the idea must be novel, better, quicker, or more efficient than existing options. Furthermore, to turn it into a sound proposition worth investing in, it must also be technically and financially feasible. It isn’t enough to just be new and novel – the best innovations offer tangible benefits to patient outcomes and staff working practices.

Of course, even more so in the current climate of financial constraints, the key question of ‘Who will pay for your new product or service?’ needs to be considered up front as well.

Whilst development of a strong IP portfolio requires investment and dedicated expertise, when done well and at the appropriate time, then it is resource well spent, offering a level of security whilst developing an asset which can be built upon and traded. There are various ways commercialisation can progress and whilst not all efforts will be successful, intellectual property is an asset which can be licensed or sold to others offering a range of opportunities to secure a good return.

In my experience, however, many organisations including the NHS are still missing the opportunity to recognise and protect their knowledge assets and intellectual property early in the innovation pathway. This is partly due to lack of understanding – sometimes one aspect is carefully protected, whilst another is entirely neglected. In other cases, the desire to accelerate to the next stage of product development means such important foundational steps are not given the attention required for long-term success.

Good IP management goes beyond formally protecting the knowledge assets associated with a project, e.g. by patenting or design registration, however. When considered with other intangible assets such as access to datasets, clinical trial results, standard operating procedures, quality management systems, and regulatory approvals, it is the combination which will be key to success.

Early securing of IP protection or recognition of IP rights in a collaboration agreement, demonstrates foresight and business acumen. Later on, it can significantly boost negotiating power with a licensing partner or build investor confidence.

Conversely, omissions in IP protection or suitable contracts can be damaging, potentially derailing years of product development and exposing organisations to legal challenges and other risks. Failing to protect a promising idea can also mean commercial opportunities are missed, thus leading to your IP being undervalued.

Ideas are evaluated by formal NHS Scotland partner InnoScot Health in the same way whether they are big or small, a product, service, or new, innovative approach to a care pathway.

We encourage and enable all 160,000 NHS Scotland staff, regardless of role or location, to come forward with their ideas, giving them the advice and support they need to maximise their potential benefits.

Protecting the IP rights of the health service is one of the cornerstones of InnoScot Health’s service offering. In fact, to date we have protected over 255 NHS Scotland innovations. Recently these have included design registration and trademarks for the SARUS® hood and trademarks for SCRAM®, building and protecting a recognised range of bags with innovative, intuitive layouts. Spin outs such as Aurum Biosciences meanwhile have patents underpinning their novel therapeutics and diagnostics.

We assist in managing this IP to ensure a return on investment for the health service. Any revenue generated from commercialising ideas and innovations from healthcare professionals is shared with the innovators and the health board through our agreements with them and the revenue sharing scheme detailed in health board IP and innovation policies.

Fundamentally, we believe that it is vital to harness the value of expertise and creativity of staff with a well-considered approach to protecting IP and knowledge input to projects from the start.

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